Finance

Disney's Q4 Earnings Preview: Streaming, Parks, and Sports in Focus

Published Time : 2025-11-12

Walt Disney Co. is gearing up to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings, with industry experts closely monitoring its streaming segment and theme park operations. Expectations are high for these divisions to fuel the entertainment giant's financial growth, along with contributions from its sports programming. A significant area of investor interest lies in the performance of its direct-to-consumer streaming services, especially in light of recent price adjustments, and any developments concerning its ongoing disagreement with YouTube TV that has affected channel availability.

The Walt Disney Company is scheduled to unveil its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter before the stock market opens on Thursday. Analysts from Wall Street are primarily focusing on the growth trajectory of Disney's streaming platforms, the resilience of its theme parks, and the profitability of its sports enterprises. These sectors are considered crucial indicators of the company's overall financial health and future prospects.

Citi analysts, who recently revised their price target for Disney shares to $145 from $140, have indicated that investor attention will be sharply focused on the updated projections for the company's direct-to-consumer streaming business. This heightened scrutiny comes after a price increase implemented in October and the potential effects of a temporary boycott by Jimmy Kimmel. Furthermore, both investors and consumers are eagerly awaiting news on the resolution of a carriage dispute that has left ESPN, ABC, and other Disney channels inaccessible to YouTube TV subscribers since late last month.

Despite these anticipated areas of growth, Disney's stock performance this year has been relatively subdued. As of Wednesday's market close, shares had only climbed approximately 5% to around $117, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which recorded an impressive nearly 17% gain over the same period. This contrast highlights the importance of the upcoming earnings report in potentially reinvigorating investor confidence.

For the upcoming quarter, Visible Alpha's consolidated estimates project Disney to report earnings per share of $1.04. This forecast is based on a modest revenue increase of less than 1% year-over-year, totaling $22.75 billion. The anticipated growth is expected to largely stem from the direct-to-consumer and experiences segments, as well as the sports division. Conversely, revenue from Disney's traditional linear networks, which include channels like ABC, ESPN, and Disney Channel, is projected to experience a contraction compared to the previous year.

Leading up to the earnings announcement, Wall Street analysts maintain a predominantly optimistic outlook on Disney's stock. All six analysts tracked by Visible Alpha currently rate the stock as a "buy." Their average target price of $146 implies a potential upside of 25% from Wednesday's closing price, underscoring the strong belief in Disney's long-term value despite recent market challenges.

A robust earnings announcement from Disney could serve as a vital catalyst, reigniting investor enthusiasm for the stock. Such a performance would demonstrate the company's ability to navigate current market complexities and leverage its key growth drivers effectively, potentially offsetting the earlier year's underperformance and validating the positive sentiment from financial analysts.